@article{Wilson_Rees_2021, title={A brief guide to producing a national population projection}, volume={5}, url={https://www.australianpopulationstudies.org/index.php/aps/article/view/84}, DOI={10.37970/aps.v5i1.84}, abstractNote={<p><strong>Background</strong>&nbsp; There are surprisingly few resources available which offer an introductory guide to preparing a national population projection using a cohort-component model. Many demography textbooks cover projections quite briefly, and many academic papers on projections focus on advanced technical issues.</p> <p><strong>Aims</strong>&nbsp; The aim of this paper is to provide a short and accessible guide to producing a national-scale population projection using the cohort-component model.</p> <p><strong>Data and methods</strong>&nbsp; The paper describes the cohort-component model from a population accounting perspective, presents all the necessary projection calculations, and covers the key steps which form part of the projections preparation process – from gathering input data to validating outputs. An accompanying Excel workbook implements the model and contains example projections for Australia.</p> <p><strong>Conclusions</strong>&nbsp; Calculating a national population projection using a cohort-component model involves fairly simple algebra, but the broader projections preparation process is more complex, and requires careful consideration and judgement.</p&gt;}, number={1}, journal={Australian Population Studies}, author={Wilson, Tom and Rees, Philip}, year={2021}, month={May}, pages={77-100} }